Friday: Mostly Sunny with a low of 24 and a high near 47.
Saturday: Partly Sunny with perhaps a scattered shower late. Low of 36 and a high of 55.
Sunday: Showers are possible, rain showers that is, otherwise partly Cloudy with a high of 52 and a low of 44.
Monday: Scattered Rain continues early, otherwise Mostly Cloudy. Low of 46, High of 58.
Tuesday: Chance of Showers and Thunderstorms mainly in the afternoon. Low of 48, High of 56.
Forecast Review: Forecast: 7/27 Actual: 6/31 : 1 of from the low and 4 off from the high, I'll take it. Missing the high by 4 was due to overestimating the effect of the melting snow and under estimating warm air working in on the back side of high pressure.
Forecast Discussion: Things continue to look pretty tame compared to what we've seen the last few weeks for the next couple of days. The jet steam is setting up in a zonal pattern, meaning it's basically running west to east, here's a map of what the jet stream will look like here in about a day and a half.
Notice how over the eastern half the US things are running west to east, that means relatively quiet, with just a chance of rain due to a warm front checking north through the weekend. This weather dude is looking forward to an easy few days of forecasting while we wait for a pair of big storm systems to get fired up in the southwest and start heading eastward. Here's what the latest GFS is showing.
Tuesday Afternoon:
Thursday Morning:
As you can see our first low doesn't look very impressive. However the storm for Thursday is looking pretty well organized and intense. The potential for a severe weather event is out there, but with the consistency the GFS has had lately, I'm not going to stay anything is set in stone (Not that it ever is). It will be something I'll be watching and updating on the next couple of days just because the possibility is there. Until then enjoy this unseasonably warm weather, and relatively calm period.
Thursday, February 5, 2009
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1 comment:
Shane,
I love winter weather..but I'm not a fan of "WICKED WEATHER". I'm hopin the weather next week will be calm enought to not stir too much up. I'd hate to see folks in Central KY lose power again. I'm just ready for the next cold shot of air and next snowstorm threat. Keep up the good work!
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