Saturday, August 30, 2008

Saturday Update

High Pressure will remain in control of your weather for the next few days. Your 5 day forecast for London, KY.

Sunday AM: Patchy fog otherwise partly sunny, low of 66.
Sunday PM: Sunny with a high of 91.

Monday AM: Fog once again likely, otherwise sunny with a low of 64.
Monday PM: Sunny with a high of 91.

Tuesday AM: Clear with a low of 65.
Tuesday PM: Sunny with a high of 89.

Wednesday AM: Clear with a low of 61.
Wednesday PM: Sunny with a high of 91.

Thursday AM: Partly cloudy with a low of 63.
Thursday PM: Slight chance of Thunderstorms, otherwise Partly Sunny with a high of 89.

Forecast Review from Yesterday:

Me: 67 87
NWS: 63 86
Accuweather: 62 88
Weathechannel: 66 85
WKYT: 67 86
WLEX: 64 87
WTVQ: 66 89
WYMT: 65 86

Actual: 68 90

Okay so not too bad for my first day of forecasting for London. I didn't expect as many pop up thunderstorms as was around the area due to the cold front not yet exiting the area. A few of these storms went severe. While London didn't see any rain I know Corbin did so I did miss the forecast a bit. Also the front left more clouds in the area than I expected. Me and KYT tied for being closest to the low while TVQ was closest to the high.


Forecast Discussion:

High pressure will remain in control of our weather for the foreseeable future. With it temperatures will remain warm and skies will remain clear. What little wind we have tomorrow will be prevailing from the east so I don't expect things to feel unbearably humid. We will remain dry until Gustav makes up his mind as to which way he's going to go and how fast he's going to get there. Current forecast models are showing what will be left of Gustav being picked up by a cool front late in the week and make a run for us just in time for the weekend.

Tropical Discussion:

Gustav continues to chug away, just now exiting Cuba as of this posting. Current wind speed on this behemoth is 150MPH with a pressure of 941mb. This makes Gustav a category 4 hurricane.

Here is a look at the current NHC forecast track for Gustav.


This track has it making landfall about 75 miles southwest of New Orleans as a Category 4 with sustained winds at around 145mph at about 2PM EST Monday Afternoon. Model tracks continue to hold in a fairly solid consensus about the path.
I'm still leaning towards a landfall after midnight on Monday. It's going to be interesting to see where this thing ends up. Please say a prayer for the people in the gulf coast, somebody is going to get hard by this storm. Also be sure to fuel up, gas prices have already jumped around 10 cents in Lily today. I leave you this evening with the link to WDSU-TV in New Orleans, they have great coverage going online right now. Hope everyone has a wonderful Saturday evening and Sunday morning and we'll talk again Sunday evening. Until then have a good one.

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