Monday, September 1, 2008

Gustav below expectations, Hanna on the Horizon and the 9-1-08 Forecast

Your 5 day Forecast for London, KY and the surrounding area:

Tuesday AM: Partly cloudy with a chance of an isolated shower. Low of 70.
Tuesday PM: Isolated showers will be possible but we should remain partly cloudy as some of the feeder bands from Gustav wrapping around into the bluegrass. A High near 90.

Wednesday AM: Fog is likely in the morning other wise Partly Cloudy with a low of 67.
Wednesday PM: Partly Sunny with a high near 89.

Thursday AM: Partly Cloudy with a low of 64.
Thursday PM: Partly Sunny with a high of 88.

Friday AM: Partly Cloudy with a low of 63.
Friday PM: Isolated Showers, otherwise partly sunny with a high of 86.

Saturday AM: Scattered Showers with a low of 64.
Saturday PM: Scattered Showers with a high of 84.

Forecast Discussion:

So High pressure is going to remain in control of our weather till the end of the week. However I'm concerned with some of the outer bands from Gustav making there way to Southern KY and possibly triggering off some showers, or at the very least clouding up our skies a bit. I'll be keeping an eye on this and will adjust my forecast tomorrow accordingly. The big question in the forecast is when and what do we see of Gustav and Hanna. Right now models aren't showing much of an impact from Gustav or the frontal system that is going to catch it and drive it out of the gulf. Models are showing Hanna affecting us as early as Friday, I'll have more on her in the tropical discussion.

Forecast Review:

Me: 68 91
NWS: 67 89
Accuweather: 64 90
Weathechannel: 67 91
WKYT: 92 65
WLEX: 65 90
WTVQ: 66 91
WYMT: 66 90

Actual: 68 91

BINGO! Nailed the high and low today. Weather Channel also hit the high but once again everyone else under estimated the low, a pattern I've noticed over the last few days.

Tropical Discussion:
The tropics are on fire right now, we have 3 named storms as of this posting. Hurricane Gustav which hit the coast of Louisiana as a Category 2 this morning. So far damage has been minimal and hopefully it will stay that way.

Hanna is finally starting to get her act and made it up to Hurricane strength earlier in the day. She's forecast to hit near the Georgia/South Carolina coast as a category 2 storm on Friday afternoon. Some of the models are blowing this up much stronger than a Cat 2, so I'll keep an eye on her and give you any updates as they become available.

And finally we have Ike churning out in the Atlantic as a tropical storm and will be at about where Hanna is right now this Saturday. So there ya have it, your daily dose of weather forecast and a little talk about the tropics. I return to my part time job tomorrow so my update might be just a little later than normal. I'm still looking for a job in Meteorology and will be sending more resumes out this week so wish me luck. Until next time I hope you have a good one.

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