Tuesday, February 17, 2009

Tuesday Night Update

Quick Update as the Cats are Tipping off:

A snowfall totals map through Friday morning.

As you can see east of I-64 could see a dusting, maybe a little more. I'm not expecting much out this first clipper. Our 2nd clipper is going to be interesting, and what comes behind it even more interesting.

Here's the NAM's thought on the first clipper:







As you can see we don't drop below freezing till early Thursday morning, so this would be mainly rain tomorrow, followed by some light snow. If we do get any accumulation out of this it will be light, and it will mainly be on the grassy areas and rooftops. Might have to watch out for some black ice on bridges and overpasses as you got to work or school Thursday morning.

Next our Weekend clipper, let's see what the GFS is showing for it:

Sat Early Morning:
Sat Late Morning:

Sat Afternoon:
So the GFS is showing we might start it out as a little mix or rain before quickly changing over to all snow, and likely putting down some accumulating snow. It's also supported by the 0z NAM which just finished running. I'll have a call map tomorrow on how much. Now here's where things get interesting, the European and Canadian are trying to develop a southern storm in the wake of this clipper.

Canadian:

Sunday Morning:


Sunday PM

I think it may be moving things in just a bit too fast, which is why I went party sunny on my 5-day from earlier in the day. The timing will be critical on this, and we'll have to see how the 0z GFS trends to see if this idea has any credit. It's on the radar but it's too far out to get excited just yet... but this might be a system that sneaks up on us. Thanks for stop by the blog today, I hope you like the new layout and color scheme. I'm going to continue fine tuning things over the next couple of days, as well as fine tuning this forecast. So come back and see us soon, and be sure to tell your friends about us. Have a great day!

Oh and BTW, check out this new service from the NWS. It's called iNWS and it will send you mobile e-mail and/or text message alerts about severe weather.

Radar to Track tomorrows rain:

1 comment:

RhondaB said...

Thanks for the update, Shane. I like the maps and enjoy reading your thoughts.